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Tag: +ev

Expected value is an important term to understand if you to avoid falling for free lunch-type offers. See all our articles related to free lunch thinking and positive expected value.

How Stefan Mandel took on the lotteries & won

Stefan Mandel lottery winner

Read the amazing story of Stefan Mandel, a Romanian economist who used elementary maths to win 14 lotteries worldwide.

Published November 16, 2022
Categorised as Risk Tagged +ev, gambling, hustling

What is expected value? How it can improve decision making

what is expected value

The most effective way to weigh up decisions that involve quantifiable risk is through a calculation called expected value, or EV for short. So, it’s worth spending 10 minutes understanding how to calculate expected value.

Published November 12, 2022
Categorised as Risk Tagged +ev, explainer, gambling

How Michael Larson hustled Press Your Luck

Read the story of how Michael Larson, an ice cream van driver hustled his way to the biggest win in game show history.

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Published October 30, 2022
Categorised as Risk Tagged +ev, game shows, hustling

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  • Deception

    Deception is one of the main means of selling propositions that, in reality, are just too good to be true. There is no such thing as a free lunch.

  • Discovery

    Discovery is the key to human progress and value creation; new technology, new ideas and even new planets.

  • Money

    Money is central to our never-ending search for a free lunch because it is a proxy for our most precious resources – time and energy.

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    Learn the role that risk, and our understanding of it, plays in the most common failures of our decision-making processes.

  • Society

    Social structures are the means by which humans organise and cooperate, but inequality, poverty and environmental degradation suggest they might need a rethink.

  • Work

    Work is the way we generate value. We exchange our time for money, but is that historical arrangement in need of change?

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